Introduction: Iron deficiency (ID) is among the five leading causes of years lived with disability in women of reproductive age worldwide and affects >50% of pregnancies. Both ID and its terminal sequela, iron deficiency anemia, are associated with adverse maternal-fetal outcomes including postpartum hemorrhage, impaired fetal neurocognitive development, preterm labor, and maternal mortality. At present, no United States (US) guidelines exist for the universal screening of ID in pregnancy. Moreover, diagnostic thresholds for ID established by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC; <15µg/L ferritin in all trimesters) and the World Health Organization (WHO; <15µg/L ferritin in first trimester and no guidance in second or third) fall below more sensitive physiologically-based thresholds of no less than 20-25µg/L ferritin in pregnancy. As such, ID screening and treatment represents an enormous gap in the health of expectant mothers and in which intravenous iron supplementation has been established as an effective and safe treatment option. We sought to address this gap by conducting the first cost-effectiveness analysis of screening ferritin thresholds for ID diagnosis and treatment in pregnancy.

Methods: We built a Markov simulation to examine the cost-effectiveness of screening all individuals for iron deficiency in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy with the following strategies: 1) ferritin threshold <30µg/L, 2) ferritin threshold <15µg/L, and 3) status quo (i.e., no screening). The analysis was conducted over a lifetime horizon, from the US health system perspective and across all accepted willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds measured in $ per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY). Costs were assessed in 2025 USD, inclusive of age- and sex- specific annual healthcare costs informed by the US Medical Expenditures Panel Survey. Age-specific fertility rates were sourced from the US National Vital Statistics Reports and used for model internal validation. The trimester-specific prevalence of ID was informed by the largest published longitudinal prospective cohort study of iron status in pregnant women to date. The probability of iron-related adverse events including anaphylaxis was sourced from the World Health Organization Vigibase data. Aligning with prospective data of ID in pregnancy, women entered the model at age 15 and were screened (or not screened) for ID per treatment strategy during the second and third trimester of each pregnancy in their lifetime. If found to be iron deficient, patients were treated with a single dose of 1g intravenous iron dextran. A separate scenario analysis from a societal perspective also incorporated the cost of wages lost to infusion time. Effectiveness was measured in QALYs and parameterized multiplicatively using age-, sex-, pregnancy-, and ID-specific utility values, exclusively assessing maternal benefit in pregnancy without accounting for any fetal benefit. The primary outcome of interest was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). We conducted deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, capturing uncertainty across all parameters simultaneously over 10,000 Monte Carlo iterations.

Results: Internal model validation demonstrated an average fertility rate of 1.62 [95% credible interval (CI) 1.59-1.65], in line with the US fertility rate of 1.62. Screening for ID with a ferritin threshold of 30µg/L versus 15µg/L versus no screening accrued $213,000, $212,800, and $212,400 and 25.12, 25.11, and 25.09 QALYs per individual, respectively. Screening at a ferritin threshold of 30µg/L was the cost-effective strategy in 100% of 10,000 Monte Carlo iterations, with an ICER of $23,000/QALY [95% CI $20,000-$27,000/QALY], below all accepted WTP thresholds. Screening at 30µg/L remained the cost-effective strategy from a societal perspective, at an ICER of $33,000/QALY [95% CI $29,000-$38,000/QALY]. Deterministic sensitivity analysis revealed that no parameter variations changed this conclusion.Conclusion: The identification and treatment of ID beginning in the second trimester at a ferritin threshold of <30µg/L is the cost-effective intervention, in comparison to a threshold of <15µg/L or no screening. These results fill a critical gap in maternofetal medicine and may help inform the forthcoming American Society of Hematology Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Diagnosis and Treatment of Iron Deficiency.

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2025
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